The ATP Cincinnati tournament will be a highly intriguing prelude to the 2026 U.S. Open. The reality that Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz won’t play in this ATP Cincinnati event makes the tournament wide open, much as the ATP Montreal tournament was. Alexander Zverev can’t be counted on to take care of business. Neither can Felix Auger-Aliassime, another top-five player. Which players on the ATP Tour will take advantage of this special opportunity and go to New York with fresh momentum and added rankings points? The chase is on as the first round begins in Ohio. LWOS has our best bets for three matches. Post your best bets and thoughts in the comments.
ATP Cincinnati
Mariano Navone – Raphael Collignon: 16:00 EST
H2H: 1-0
Mariano Navone reached the third round of the ATP Montreal event, while Raphael Collignon reached the second round. Collignon, however, is the sportsbooks’ favorite by a good (though not overwhelming) margin. Collignon has a better match record than Navone in 2026, going 34-15 to Navone’s 25-19. Their 2026 hardcourt records are very similar, though. Navone is 8-6, Collignon 8-7. There’s a lot to think about in this ATP Cincinnati match.
Best Bet to Make
Welcome to our best bet section. You’re going to get a collection of bets to consider, also a confidence level which should guide how much you should invest in this match.
Parlay/hedge options: Navone +1.5 sets at 1.52 at @unibet, Collignon moneyline at 1.68 at @pinnacle
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10: 1 – You should not bet on this match.
Collignon being favored despite no overwhelming edge in 2026 hardcourt performance, including in Montreal last week, seems a little off. Navone is a solid player having a decent year. Collignon is 17-5 on clay, the main source of his rise in the rankings, but this is a hardcourt match, and Collignon is not an elite hardcourt player. You shouldn’t bet on this match, but if you insist, over 2.5 sets in a long and complicated match feels right.
That being said, betting on over 2.5 sets is the best bet you can make.
Value bet/ the best odds: over 2.5 sets at 2.25 at @unibet
Rinky Hijikata – Gael Monfils: 19:00 EST
H2H: 0-0
Rinky Hijikata and Gael Monfils are struggling coming into this ATP Cincinnati match. Hijikata has lost his last four matches, while Monfils is 1-4 in his last five matches. Monfils did win a Montreal match over Kamil Majchrzak, and that’s why the sportsbooks have him as the favorite here. However, Hijikata is 16-11 on hardcourts this year, Monfils only 3-5. Should Monfils be favored?
Best Bet to Make
Parlay/hedge options: Hijikata +1.5 sets at 1.47 at @unibet, Monfils moneyline at 1.78 at @pinnacle
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10: 1 – you should not bet on this match.
This is another match where the odds seem weird. Hijikata doesn’t deserve the benefit of the doubt given his four-match losing streak coming into this ATP Cincinnati tournament, but Monfils being a clear favorite despite a 1-4 record in his last five is hard to trust. Over 2.5 sets in another coin-flip kind of match feels like the right bet, but the bigger point is you probably shouldn’t risk money on a match like this one.
That being said, betting on over 2.5 sets is the best bet you can make
Value bet/ the best odds: over 2.5 sets at 2.23 at @betsson
Zachary Svajda – Mattia Bellucci: 20:30 EST
H2H: 0-0
Zachary Svajda is 17-8 on hardcourts this year. Mattia Bellucci is 12-10. Bellucci has played just one match since late June, and he lost it. Svajda beat Denis Shapovalov in Montreal before losing to Arthur Fils and has played five matches since the end of grass season, so he has a little more match play under his belt in recent weeks going into the ATP Cincinnati first round.
Best Bet to Make
Parlay/hedge options: Svajda moneyline at 1.56 at @pinnacle, Bellucci +4.5 games at 1.53 at @unibet
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10: 4 – you should bet no more than half a unit on this match.
You can bet some money on this match, but not too much. Svajda is an improving player but not a fully established one, so you don’t want to put all your chips into the middle of the table on him, at least not yet. However, he is a good bit better than Bellucci and should win in straights.
That being said, betting on Svajda winning 2:0 is the best bet you can make
Value bet/ the best odds: Svajda winning 2:0 at 2.40 @betway
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
